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Despite some improvements, public security will remain poor, particularly in some rural areas. A negotiated end to the conflict with the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) is unlikely. The Economist Intelligence Unit expects Mr Uribe to retain a prudent economic policy. GDP growth will slow gradually, but remain solid, averaging 4.5% in 2007-08. The current-account deficit will widen to 2.4% of GDP in 2008, but will be fully financed by strong investment inflows.
Domestic politics: Mr Uribe, who began a second four-year term in August 2006, will face significant challenges in the forecast period...
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Common topics in this essay:
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