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Policymakers frequently monitor exchange rates to better understand their impact on trade positions, and consequently, domestic employment, business and revenue prospects. Nowadays, more attention is being focused on foreign exchange rate prediction models since the foreign exchange market is considered to be the world's biggest financial market, with an average daily trading of $ 1.2 trillion.
The failure of standard economic models to display any out-of-sample forecasting ability over horizons of up to one year "continues to exert a pessimistic effect on the field of empirical exchange rate modeling in particular and international finance in general" (Frankel and Rose, 1994)...
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