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In short, capital has suddenly become more expensive than a few months ago and, in many cases, it may not be available at all.
The big risk is a possible repeat of what happened in 1996: Projects that are halfway to completion, or companies that are stuck with cash flow issues on businesses that are yet to reach break even, will run out of cash. If the big casualty then was steel projects (recall Mesco, Usha and all the others), one of the casualties this time could be real estate, where building projects are half-done all over the country and some developers who touted their 'land banks' find now that these may not be bankable...
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Common topics in this essay:
- Critically examine why financial liberalisation brought financial crisis in most of the Asian countries but did not bring a crisis in either China or India.
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