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(Lawrence Wilkinson)
What are Scenarios?
Scenarios are specially constructed stories about the future. Every scenario represents a different but plausible world. The objective of scenario planning is to show how different forces can manipulate the future towards opposite directions. Scenarios enrich our mental maps and increase the number of options to act on coming events.
A complexity reduction of systems, based on secure information, is a typical outcome of a scenario planning exercise. A workshop therefore cannot substitute a longer process of information gathering. However, scenario workshops do utilize the collective consciousness of a large group of different stakeholders...
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