Exchange Rate

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Title: Exchange Rate

Essay Details:

Subject: Business

Author: Salvador W

Date: December 23, 2014

Level:

Grade: A

Length: 27 / 7822

Essay text:

The analysis is applied to the Norwegian exchange rate. The long run equilibrium relationship is embedded in a parsimonious representation for the exchange rate. The structural exchange rate representation is stable over the sample and outperforms a random walk in an out-ofsample forecasting exercise at one to four horizons. Ignoring the interest rate differential in the long run, however, the structural model no longer outperforms a random walk. Keywords: Equilibrium real exchange rate, cointegration VAR, out-of-sample forecasting JEL classification: C22, C32, C53, F31 Acknowledgement: The authors wish to thank A...

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