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Analysing the evolving balance of payments dynamics is crucial for figuring out where the rupee is headed. Surging crude oil import bill, continued strength in domestic demand, and expectations of moderating export growth suggest that the current account deficit will worsen this fiscal year, probably to slightly more than 2% of GDP. A $10/bbl increase in crude oil prices increases the merchandise trade deficit by around $6.5-7.0 billion. Higher global crude oil prices also boost remittances, but the net effect of higher oil prices on the current account deficit is still a large negative.
Capital inflows are unlikely to maintain their strength in recent years, though funding the wider current account deficit should not be a problem...
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Common topics in this essay:
- Balance Of Payments
- china Payments
- Exchange Rate and Balance of Payments
- Managing the Rupee
- Rupee Appreciation
- Where is our Oil and Gas Industry headed????
- Balance of Payments
- Evolving Myself
- History of the Indian Rupee
- Destroying The Delicate Balance Crucial To Survival
- Figuring out Marriage
- The Kylie Balance - Work, Life, Balance
- The Winged Human-headed Bull
- Evolving Federalism
- Where is Immigration Headed
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